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April 26, 2006

:Dear Readers
It is with sadness that we announce that avianflu.typepad.com is going dormant.  This is for two reasons.  First, our original mission was to provide accurate information on a newly developing topic.  While misconceptions continue to prevail, there are now numerous informative and excellent sites on the avian flu topic.  You will find many of these listed on this very blog.  Second, both Silviu and Tyler have some external commitments, which prevent them from upgrading our offerings to remain unique.

We have not forgotten about the issue and we will keep the site standing, if only as a directory to other sites.  And we have not ruled out resurrecting the blog at some point in the future, especially if the issue becomes more pressing.

Thank you all for reading us and thank you for your comments and suggestions.  Let's all hope that this blog can stay dormant forever.

Tyler & Silviu

April 21, 2006

Latest bird flu news

China announced its 12th human casualty today:

A 21-year-old migrant worker has died of the H5N1 bird flu virus in China, the country's 12th human fatality from the disease since November, the government said Friday.

The man, identified only by the surname Lai, died Wednesday at a hospital in the central city of Wuhan, the official Xinhua News Agency said, citing health officials.

The government hasn't said how Lai was exposed to the virus. China has suffered dozens of flu outbreaks in poultry, prompting the government to destroy millions of chickens, ducks and other birds that contain the virus.

Lai became ill on April 1 and was hospitalized with a fever and pneumonia. He was confirmed Monday to have the H5N1 strain.

Earlier this week Indonesia confirmed its 24th casualty.

Elsewhere, two wild swans found dead in France earlier this week tested positive for H5N1. A new poultry outbreak was discovered in Pakistan. In Denmark an airplane was briefly quarantined when a passanger was suspected of being infected with H5N1 (turned out to be a false alarm). Finally, the WHO cleared a Sudanese poultry farmer suspected of having contacted bird flu.

April 19, 2006

Indonesian family infected with bird flu

A family of five was admitted to Abdul Moeloek hospital in Bandurlampung on Sunday, all suffering from suspected bird flu.

The family -- Abidi, the husband and his wife Sarmawati, both 52, and three of their six children, Septi, 12, Fitri, 8 and Putra, 5 -- are now being treated in an isolation room. The five have all demonstrated a high fever and a cough, symptoms of the deadly bird flu.

Sarmawati has been treated at the hospital since last Thursday. Her other three children had been diagnosed with bird flu earlier. Mohtar Rozi, 15, died March 31, and Betharia, 19, died April 4, while Bakhrudin, 26, is still being treated at the hospital.

Both Mohtar and Betharia died at home before they could be sent to the hospital. Their parents had limited funds and knew little about the virus.

Laboratory tests on drug samples taken from the patients confirmed Bakhrudin, Septi, Fitri and Putra were infected with the bird flu virus, while Abidi and Sarmawati were negative, according to data from the Lampung health office.

From the Jakarta Post, via H5N1.

China reports 17th human case

China has reported its 17th human case of the H5N1 strain of bird flu since November, in a 21-year-old security guard from the central city of Wuhan.

A WHO spokesperson said the man was confirmed to have the virus, but the source of his exposure was still under investigation.

He became ill on April 1 and was hospitalised in a critical condition with a high fever.

Source.

April 18, 2006

South Asia's bird flu struggles

Reuters published a good article on the current situation in the region. Here are a few bits:

Since February, India, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Myanmar have culled hundreds of thousands of chickens and shut poultry farms, yet the virus has kept spreading to new areas.

Surprisingly, no humans are known to have been infected in South Asia, where hundreds of millions in the countryside live with their livestock.

[...] "Has any disease which has come in the last 50 years into India gone away?" said H.K. Pradhan, head of India's only animal diseases laboratory that carries out tests for bird flu.

Worse still is a lack of laboratories, trained veterinary personnel and ignorance about the disease.

Officials admit they face an uphill battle against bird flu, which experts fear could mutate and spread easily from person to person, triggering a pandemic.

In a region where many have little or no access to stretched health services, a mutated strain could spread rapidly among humans, leaving countless numbers of people to fend for themselves.

While officials might feel a sense of crisis, the reaction of many ordinary people is slowly turning from panic to cautious resignation.

In a region of more than 1.3 billion people, bird flu is just one of many threats they face as they try to overcome poverty, the danger of other illnesses, militancy and natural disasters.

April 17, 2006

Pakistan finds bird flu on second farm

The H5N1 bird flu virus has been confirmed at another Pakistani poultry farm, an Agriculture Ministry official said on Sunday.

Authorities confirmed outbreaks of the H5N1 virus at two poultry farms in the Northwest Frontier Province (NWFP) in February.

The new outbreak was discovered on a farm near the capital, Islamabad.

"It was an small farm and we have already destroyed a total 3,500 chickens there," Mohammad Afzal, the ministry's livestock commissioner, told Reuters.

From Reuters.

The Washington Post on US pandemic plan

President Bush is expected to approve soon a national pandemic influenza response plan that identifies more than 300 specific tasks for federal agencies, including determining which frontline workers should be the first vaccinated and expanding Internet capacity to handle what would probably be a flood of people working from their home computers.

The Treasury Department is poised to sign agreements with other nations to produce currency if U.S. mints cannot operate. The Pentagon, anticipating difficulties acquiring supplies from the Far East, is considering stockpiling millions of latex gloves. And the Department of Veterans Affairs has developed a drive-through medical exam to quickly assess patients who suspect they have been infected.

The document is the first attempt to spell out in some detail how the government would detect and respond to an outbreak, and continue functioning through what could be an 18-month crisis, which in a worst-case scenario could kill 1.9 million Americans. Bush was briefed on a draft of the implementation plan on March 17. He is expected to approve the plan within the week, but it continues to evolve, said several administration officials who have been working on it.

[...] To keep the 1.8 million federal workers healthy and productive through a pandemic, the Bush administration would tap into its secure stash of medications, cancel large gatherings, encourage schools to close and shift air traffic controllers to the busier hubs -- probably where flu had not yet struck. Retired federal employees would be summoned back to work, and National Guard troops could be dispatched to cities facing possible "insurrection," said Jeffrey W. Runge, chief medical officer at the Department of Homeland Security.

The administration hopes to help contain the first cases overseas by rushing in medical teams and supplies. "If there is a small outbreak in a country, it may behoove us to introduce travel restrictions," Runge said, "to help stamp out that spark."

Read the full article here.

April 14, 2006

Seven suspect cases hospitalised in India

Seven persons, including six women, suspected to be affected with bird-flu were admitted in the isolation ward of the TB Hospital, Chief Medical Officer KK Vijayvargiya said on Wednesday.

"Their blood samples have been collected and were sent to Delhi for examination," he said.

"The suspected persons were referred from Mortakka in Khandwa district with suspected bird flu fever," he said, adding that they were examined by doctors and initial reports did not reveal anything suspicious.

Only after getting the report from the Delhi laboratory it can be confirmed whether they are affected with the bird flu or not, he said.

The suspected persons consumed a chicken dish few days back following which it was suspected that they are affected with the disease, he said.

They complained of vomiting, fever and pain in hands and legs, he added.

Source.

April 13, 2006

Bird flu preparedness

Nicholas Zamiska writes in a WSJ article that there is wide variability between European countries when it comes to bird flu preparedness. The piece is a review of a coming Lancet Journal article. Some received the story with skepticism:

"It's like looking at the wiring diagrams of a Maserati and a Ferrari, and looking at which one handles better on the road without turning on the ignition," said Angus Nicoll, influenza coordinator for the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control in Stockholm, who was sent an early draft of the study for review. However, he called the study "a useful piece of work."

Effect Measure briefly reviews the status of the US flu defenses.

April 12, 2006

Latest human cases

Indonesia reported two more cases on Monday, read the details at Recombinomics. For more on Indonesia try the Jakarta Post here and here, or this recent Bloomberg story.

Yesterday Egypt reported its 12th human case of bird flu, the BBC has some details.

Myanmar claims to have bird flu under control

Bird flu in Myanmar has been brought under control, and restrictions will be lifted in two affected regions by the end of the month, a livestock official said Wednesday, just days after the U.N. said the situation in this impoverished nation was more serious than originally thought.

Several areas have been free from infection for one or two weeks, said Dr. Than Tun, director of the Livestock Breeding and Veterinary Department.

"The situation seemed serious because of several outbreaks around March 24-28, but the situation is under control now," Than Tun said.

On March 13, authorities confirmed bird flu outbreaks in the central Mandalay and Sagaing regions.

A report by a U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization expert who inspected those areas noted that "the last date of bird flu infection and culling (in Mandalay) was April 5 and the disease has been brought under control," the livestock department announced in a statement Wednesday.

It said the FAO expert, identified as Dr. Prasat, inspected the regions from March 28 to April 10, and that restrictions in Mandalay and Sagaing would be lifted by the end of April.

As of Tuesday, authorities had culled a total of 326,884 chickens and 317,305 quails, and destroyed 175,338 chicken and quail eggs, it said.

Source.

The risks of eating food contaminated with bird flu

Read Effect Measure for a good analysis.

April 10, 2006

Vietnam finds new outbreaks near Chinese border

Vietnam has detected bird flu on three farms near the Chinese border, the second such finding in the past few days, an animal health official said on Saturday.

Health workers slaughtered 157 chickens and ducks after farmers said 30 birds died on March 19 on three farms in Cao Bang province, said Dang Quang Binh, head of the provincial Animal Health Department.

"We sent samples for testing and on March 25 the results showed H5 was found in poultry samples from the three farms," Binh told Reuters by telephone from Cao Bang, 270 km (167 miles) north of Hanoi.

He was referring to the H5 subtype avian flu virus.

No further tests were likely be done to confirm if the strain was H5N1, which has killed 42 people in Vietnam since late 2003.

Source. This story comes days after infected birds were found smuggled from China.

Myanmar struggles with outbreaks

Bird flu is spreading fast in secretive, military-ruled Myanmar, which is now battling more than 100 outbreaks in poultry since the virus was first reported a month ago, U.N. agriculture officials said on Monday.

After visits by two teams from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO), the situation in the former Burma appeared to be "more serious than what we imagined", said He Changchui, the Rome-based body's Asia-Pacific representative.

"Up to now, there are over 100 outbreaks, mainly in two districts, Mandalay and Sagaing," He told a news conference in Bangkok.

Source.

April 07, 2006

Bird flu found in Lagos

A deadly strain of bird flu has been detected in Africa's most populous city, the Nigerian commercial capital Lagos, Information Minister Frank Nweke confirmed.

"The virus has so far been indentified in 12 states, including Lagos, as well as around the federal capital Abuja," Nweke told AFP.

The detection of the virus in Lagos will raise fears that Nigeria's outbreak H5N1 strain of bird flu, which has killed more than 90 people since it broke out in Asia in 2003, could be spreading out of control.

Source.

The 1951 mystery flu

Revere comments on a fascinating article at Effect Measure. The bottom line: we have a very poor understanding of flu viruses.

April 06, 2006

Bird flu found in poultry smuggled from China to Vietnam

Health authorities in Vietnam have discovered bird flu in poultry illegaly imported from China and are conducting tests to find out if it is the deadly H5N1 strain of the virus, officials said Thursday.

"We made test last week on 30 samples of smuggled poultry in northern Lang Son province," said Le Van Tao, deputy director of the Animal Health Institute at the agriculture ministry.

"Results have shown one of the samples was positive to the H5 virus of avian flu," he said.

Experts still had to determine whether it was the deadly H5N1 virus that has claimed 42 lives in the communist nation since December 2003.

Tests were also under way done on another 40 samples in neigbouring Quang Ninh province, which also borders China.

No new bird flu cases have been identified in Vietnam since December and the last human death was reported in November.

Source.

More human cases found in Egypt

Health and Population Minister Hatem el-Gabali, quoted by the state MENA news agency late on Wednesday, said the latest cases were a 16-year-old girl and an 8-year-old boy from two provinces north of Cairo.

The deadly H5N1 strain of the bird flu virus has so far killed two Egyptians.

"The girl and the boy were infected after coming into contact with domestic birds which had died, and tests ... confirmed they (the boy and girl) had been infected with bird flu," Gabali said, adding the two were in a stable condition.

The government says 11 Egyptians have now been infected by bird flu.

[...] Earlier on Wednesday, Egypt confirmed it's ninth case of human bird flu infection, in a girl aged 16 months from southern Egypt. On Sunday two sisters were confirmed to have the virus.

The avian flu virus has so far not been transmitted from human to human, but can be caught from infected birds.

Source.

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